The Trump administration’s decision to take a 9.9% stake in Intel has jolted markets, corporate boardrooms, and policy experts alike, marking the latest — and most dramatic — step in a sweeping experiment with state-managed capitalism.

A Government Hedge Fund in the Making

The $11.1 billion equity stake, funded through CHIPS Act subsidies and Secure Enclave grants, gives the U.S. government ownership of 433 million non-voting Intel shares at a 17% discount to market prices. Trump hailed the deal on Truth Social as a Great Deal for America and for Intel.”

But critics argue the president is turning Washington into a de facto government hedge fund, using subsidies, tariff approvals, and national security clearances to extract equity stakes and revenue streams from private firms. As Yahoo Finance’s Rick Newman put it, “Trump is on an investment spree comparable to a hedge fund founder… except Trump’s capital is the power and credit of the U.S. government.”

Intel’s Lifeline, But Problems Remain

Intel’s market value has shrunk to about $108 billion — a fraction of Nvidia’s $4.3 trillion — after years of losing its manufacturing edge. The company has suffered six straight quarters of losses, faces yield problems with its advanced 14A/18A processes, and risks falling further behind TSMC.

Analysts caution that government money cannot solve technical and demand-side problems. As Reuters bluntly concluded: “Did Trump save Intel? Not really.” The foundry arm still needs external customers to be viable, and without Apple- or Microsoft-scale clients, Intel risks spinning its wheels.

Beyond Intel: A Pattern of Corporate Intervention

The Intel deal is not isolated. Over recent months, Trump has:

  • Forced Nvidia ($NVDA) and AMD ($AMD) to hand over 15% of China export revenues in exchange for licenses.
  • Approved U.S. Steel’s sale to Nippon Steel only after securing a presidential “golden share” with veto rights over strategic decisions.
  • Floated tariffs targeting Apple ($AAPL), later backing off when the company pledged $100 billion in new U.S. investments.
  • Ordered Coca-Cola ($KO) to reformulate sodas with cane sugar, reportedly to benefit political allies in the sugar industry.

The New York Times described Trump as “Corporate America’s newest activist investor”, operating not for shareholder return but for political leverage.

Supporters vs. Skeptics

Supporters argue the Intel deal strengthens U.S. tech sovereignty in the face of Chinese state-backed competitors. “Intel is more than just a company, it’s a strategic asset,” said Sujai Shivakumar of CSIS.

Skeptics warn of creeping “banana-republic vibes.” The Washington Post editorial board called the Intel stake “a mistake,” noting that mimicking China’s industrial policy risks undermining U.S. innovation. Critics also see potential cronyism, with Trump free to favor companies aligned with his political goals.

The Bigger Question

Trump’s growing entanglement with corporate America raises profound questions about governance, free markets, and shareholder protections. “Once the government gets involved in strategic decision making, those choices are no longer driven by markets,” warned Sarah Bauerle Danzman of Indiana .

The U.S. is now Intel’s largest shareholder. For Trump, it’s a triumph of deal-making and industrial strategy. For Intel, it’s a lifeline. But for markets, it may mark a turning point — away from free-market capitalism and toward a form of state-managed corporate power unseen in modern U.S. history.

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

Related: Trump’s 10% Stake in Intel: A “Great Deal” or Political Gamble?

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