The battle over AI chip exports is heating up as Microsoft ($MSFT), Amazon ($AMZN), and Nvidia ($NVDA) call on the Trump administration to loosen restrictions, warning that U.S. allies may turn to China for advanced semiconductor technology.

See: How long can NVIDIA stay untouchable
?

The Issue: U.S. Export Curbs on AI Chips

The U.S. first banned exports of cutting-edge AI chips to China in 2018, aiming to slow Beijing’s technological advancements. Over time, these restrictions expanded, limiting chip sales to other nations, including U.S. allies like Israel, India, and Switzerland.

Microsoft President Brad Smith argues that the policy is backfiring:

“Beijing is using these rules to claim that countries can’t rely on the U.S., but China is willing to provide what they need.”

Tech analyst Ben Thompson supports this claim, pointing out that the U.S. ban has pushed China to develop its own semiconductor industry, making it a major exporter instead of just a buyer. The first thing the US should do,” he said, is “let Chinese companies buy top-of-the-line Nvidia chips.”

Why It Matters: China Gains, U.S. Loses?

🚨 Microsoft’s Warning: Restricting exports could weaken U.S. influence over AI supply chains and force allies to build ties with Chinese suppliers.
🚨 Amazon’s Concern: Blocking AI chips from key partners hurts U.S. companies, as competitors step in to fill the gap.
🚨 Nvidia’s Take: The chip giant argues that export restrictions don’t help national security but instead erode U.S. market dominance.

The Big Picture: What’s Next?

With the AI arms race accelerating, the Trump administration must balance national security with economic strategy. Loosening curbs could preserve U.S. leadership in AI, while keeping them in place could strengthen China’s semiconductor rise.

📉 Investor Takeaway: If the U.S. relaxes restrictions, expect Nvidia ($NVDA), AMD ($AMD), and Intel ($INTC) to benefit. If not, China’s chipmakers like SMIC ($0981.HK) will continue to surge.

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

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