President Donald Trump is escalating his stance on Iran just as nuclear negotiations enter a decisive phase in Geneva. While Washington continues to push for diplomacy, the administration is simultaneously reinforcing the possibility of military action if talks fail.
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In his State of the Union address, Trump pointed to Iran’s missile expansion, renewed nuclear activity, and history of regional aggression as reasons that could justify force. He warned that Tehran is developing missiles capable of threatening Europe, US bases, and potentially even the US mainland.
“They’ve already developed missiles that can threaten Europe and our bases overseas,” Trump said, stressing that Iran must never obtain nuclear weapons.
Diplomacy Backed by Pressure
The current round of talks in Geneva is widely seen as a last opportunity to secure a deal. Trump has suggested progress should come within 10 to 15 days, signaling that failure could shift the US toward military action.
Vice President J.D. Vance reinforced the administration’s dual strategy, stating that diplomacy remains the preferred route, but force remains available if Iran’s nuclear ambitions continue.
At the same time, Washington is tightening the economic noose. New sanctions targeting Iran’s oil networks and missile program are designed to raise the cost of delay and push Tehran toward concessions.
Unclear Objectives, Real Risks
Despite bipartisan concern over Iran’s capabilities, public support for a strike remains limited. Analysts say the White House has yet to fully define whether its goal would be regime change, nuclear rollback, or a targeted military deterrent.
Military leaders have reportedly warned that even a limited strike could trigger serious retaliation, with Iran signaling it would respond forcefully.
A Narrow Window
For now, Trump’s strategy is clear: maximum pressure paired with strategic ambiguity.
The Geneva talks may determine whether tensions ease through diplomacy or move toward confrontation. The next few days could reshape not only US Iran policy, but the broader balance of power in the Middle East.
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