European markets experienced a sharp decline, with the STOXX 600 falling 1%, marking its worst week since early August, driven by uncertainty from the U.S. jobs report and its potential impact on the Federal Reserve’s rate cut decision.
Market Impact:
- STOXX 600 Index:
- Fell 1% on Friday.
- Worst weekly performance since early August, down 2.5%.
- Germany’s DAX:
- Dropped 1.6% due to a larger-than-expected 2.4% fall in industrial production in July.
- Sectors Affected:
- Technology, Basic Materials, Energy: Fell over 2%, with tech stocks particularly hit by weak Broadcom results.
- Real Estate: Rose 0.6%, reaching its highest level since August 2022, as a rate-sensitive sector benefitted.
- Banking Sector: Fell 1.8% due to sensitivity to interest rate expectations.
European Markets: Key Factors
- U.S. Jobs Data:
- Nonfarm payrolls increased by 142,000 in August, below expectations.
- Unemployment rate dropped to 4.2%.
- Data raised uncertainty around the size of the Fed’s rate cut, with a 23% chance of a 50 bp cut.
- Eurozone GDP:
- Growth revised down to 0.2% in Q2 from an earlier 0.3% estimate.
- ECB Rate Expectations:
- ECB expected to cut rates by 25 basis points next week, though U.S. inflation data may influence the outcome.
Individual Stock Movements:
- Volvo Cars:
- Dropped 5.7% after lowering margin and revenue targets for the second time in a year.
- InPost:
- Jumped 11.7%, leading the STOXX 600, after reporting a 29% increase in Q2 earnings.