US stocks surged on Friday afternoon, setting the stage for strong weekly gains, driven by growing expectations that the Federal Reserve may opt for a larger interest rate cut next week. Tech stocks led the rally, with major indices such as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq climbing, while speculation about a half-point rate cut fueled investor optimism.

  • The S&P 500 and Nasdaq gained 0.7%, continuing a five-year rally for tech stocks, while the Dow Jones added over 400 points.Traders increased their bets on a 0.5% interest rate cut by the Fed, with odds jumping to 49% after being at just 15% the previous day.Former New York Fed President Bill Dudley said there is a “strong case” for a larger cut, adding to the market speculation.Treasury yields dropped, with the 10-year yield falling to 3.66% and the 2-year yield at 3.58%, signalling changing monetary policy expectations.Adobe shares declined after a disappointing AI-related outlook, while Oracle stocks rose on optimism about future cloud demand.Boeing shares dropped as factory workers went on strike, halting production in Seattle.
  • The rising momentum in stocks, particularly tech, is driven by shifting expectations for a major Fed pivot. However, the uncertainty around rate decisions and labour market risks may still cause market volatility in the near future.