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	<title>Hedge funds - Finblog</title>
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	<title>Hedge funds - Finblog</title>
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		<title>Investors Turn to New Strategy as Stocks and Bonds Fall Together</title>
		<link>https://finblog.com/investors-turn-to-new-strategy-as-stocks-and-bonds-fall-together/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=investors-turn-to-new-strategy-as-stocks-and-bonds-fall-together</link>
					<comments>https://finblog.com/investors-turn-to-new-strategy-as-stocks-and-bonds-fall-together/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Guntakin Mehnatli]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 28 Mar 2026 19:45:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trending News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hedge funds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Middle East Conflict]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oil prices]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://finblog.com/?p=21052</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>With stocks and bonds both under pressure and oil back above $100, investors are looking for alternative ways to navigate one of the most challenging market environments in years. As the US–Iran war fuels volatility and raises fears of stagflation, a lesser-known strategy is gaining attention again: managed futures. A Strategy Built for Turbulent Markets Managed futures strategies, often used by hedge funds, focus on trading trends across assets like commodities, currencies, and bonds rather than relying on traditional stock or bond performance. They are designed to: That flexibility is becoming attractive again as markets struggle. Why Interest Is Rising...</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://finblog.com/investors-turn-to-new-strategy-as-stocks-and-bonds-fall-together/">Investors Turn to New Strategy as Stocks and Bonds Fall Together</a> first appeared on <a href="https://finblog.com">Finblog</a>.</p>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>With stocks and bonds both under pressure and oil back above $100, investors are looking for alternative <a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/28/market-correction-futures-hedging-strategies.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener nofollow" title="">ways </a>to navigate one of the most challenging market environments in years.</strong></p>



<p>As the US–Iran war fuels volatility and raises fears of stagflation, a lesser-known strategy is gaining attention again: <strong>managed futures</strong>.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">A Strategy Built for Turbulent Markets</h2>



<p>Managed futures strategies, often used by <strong>hedge funds</strong>, focus on trading trends across assets like commodities, currencies, and bonds rather than relying on traditional stock or bond performance. They are designed to:</p>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>Go long or short depending on market direction</li>



<li>Adapt to shifting macro trends</li>



<li>Perform during periods of volatility</li>
</ul>



<p>That flexibility is becoming attractive again as markets struggle.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Why Interest Is Rising Now</h2>



<p>The current environment looks similar to 2022, when:</p>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>Stocks and bonds both declined sharply</li>



<li>Oil prices surged</li>



<li>Managed futures strategies delivered strong gains</li>
</ul>



<p>In that year, while the S&amp;P 500 fell and bonds dropped, these strategies <strong>returned around 20%</strong>, highlighting their potential during market stress. Today, the same conditions are reappearing:</p>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>Rising inflation risks</li>



<li>Geopolitical uncertainty</li>



<li>Unstable interest rate outlook</li>
</ul>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Big Players Are Moving In</h2>



<p>The growing interest is also reflected in the industry. Major asset managers like: <strong>BlackRock, Invesco, Fidelity</strong></p>



<p>have recently launched or expanded managed futures <strong>ETFs</strong>, signaling increasing demand. Although the space is still relatively small, with about <strong>$6.5 billion in assets</strong>, it is seeing steady inflows.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Not a Simple Investment</h2>



<p>Despite the growing popularity, experts warn that these strategies are more complex than traditional investments. They can:</p>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>Perform well during volatile periods</li>



<li>Underperform in stable markets</li>
</ul>



<p>Because of this, they are often recommended as a <strong>small part of a portfolio</strong>, typically around<strong> 3% to 5%</strong>, rather than a core holding.</p>



<p>With stocks and bonds falling at the same time, investors are being forced to rethink traditional strategies. Managed futures are emerging as one option in a market where: <strong>volatility is high, uncertainty is rising, and diversification matters more than ever.</strong></p>



<p><strong>Related: <a href="https://finblog.com/almost-everything-is-going-wrong-for-markets-right-now/" target="_blank" rel="noopener" title="">Almost everything is going wrong for markets right now</a></strong></p>



<p><strong>Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.</strong></p><p>The post <a href="https://finblog.com/investors-turn-to-new-strategy-as-stocks-and-bonds-fall-together/">Investors Turn to New Strategy as Stocks and Bonds Fall Together</a> first appeared on <a href="https://finblog.com">Finblog</a>.</p>]]></content:encoded>
					
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		<title>Michael Burry swaps hedge fund for paid “Cassandra Unchained” newsletter</title>
		<link>https://finblog.com/michael-burry-swaps-hedge-fund-for-paid-cassandra-unchained-newsletter/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=michael-burry-swaps-hedge-fund-for-paid-cassandra-unchained-newsletter</link>
					<comments>https://finblog.com/michael-burry-swaps-hedge-fund-for-paid-cassandra-unchained-newsletter/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Guntakin Mehnatli]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 24 Nov 2025 18:43:11 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Money]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trending News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hedge funds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michael Burry]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://finblog.com/?p=18661</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Michael Burry, the investor who famously called the 2008 housing crash, has shut down his hedge fund Scion Asset Management and relaunched himself as a full-time writer with a paid Substack called Cassandra Unchained. The newsletter costs 39 dollars per month or 379 dollars per year and already has tens of thousands of subscribers, according to Substack and early media reports. Burry says he is “not retired” and that the blog now has his full attention, freeing him from the regulatory limits that restricted what he could say while running outside money. In his first posts he revisits his late-1990s...</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://finblog.com/michael-burry-swaps-hedge-fund-for-paid-cassandra-unchained-newsletter/">Michael Burry swaps hedge fund for paid “Cassandra Unchained” newsletter</a> first appeared on <a href="https://finblog.com">Finblog</a>.</p>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="https://x.com/michaeljburry" target="_blank" rel="noopener nofollow" title="">Michael Burry,</a> the investor who famously called the<strong> 2008 housing crash</strong>, has shut down his hedge fund Scion Asset Management and relaunched himself as a full-time writer with a paid Substack called<strong> <a href="https://michaeljburry.substack.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener nofollow" title=""><em>Cassandra Unchained</em>.</a></strong></p>



<p>The newsletter costs <strong>39 dollars per month or 379 dollars per year</strong> and already has <strong>tens of thousands of subscribers</strong>, according to Substack and early media reports. Burry says he is<strong> “not retired” </strong>and that the blog now has his full attention, freeing him from the regulatory limits that restricted what he could say while running outside money.</p>



<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" width="1024" height="677" src="https://finblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/image-166-1024x677.png" alt="" class="wp-image-18663" srcset="https://finblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/image-166-1024x677.png 1024w, https://finblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/image-166-300x198.png 300w, https://finblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/image-166-768x508.png 768w, https://finblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/image-166.png 1334w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>



<p>In his first posts he revisits his late-1990s tech calls and warns about what he sees as a new <strong>AI bubble</strong>, criticizing the boom in cloud and data-center spending and the accounting used by some big tech firms.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">From short seller to content business</h2>



<p>For years Burry’s SEC filings and occasional tweets could move stocks, yet he often complained that public markets misread his positions. Running a paid newsletter lets him explain his thinking in detail while earning recurring subscription income that is not tied to daily market swings.</p>



<p>That model is becoming common. Commentators in Chinese tech media noted that <a href="https://finblog.com/?s=Michael+Burry" target="_blank" rel="noopener" title="">Burry’s </a>move into paid content comes just as other political and financial figures launch high-priced clubs and communities, arguing that “real opportunities only circulate quietly inside closed circles.”</p>



<p>One high-profile example is <strong>Donald Trump Jr.’s “Executive Branch” club</strong>, a private membership network reported to carry a <strong>500,000 dollar fee</strong>, designed to gather wealthy conservatives and business figures in an exclusive setting. </p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">End of the free information era?</h2>



<p>Analysts see a bigger trend behind these launches. After years when Twitter and other platforms felt like places where anyone could read expert opinions for free, more star investors and influencers are putting their detailed views behind paywalls. Public feeds become marketing and branding, while specific trade ideas, macro views, and networking migrate into private newsletters, Discords, and clubs.</p>



<p>For ordinary investors, that could mean:</p>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>Less high-quality insight available in open channels</li>



<li>A growing “information gap” between people who can pay for access and those who cannot</li>



<li>More risk that retail traders react to old or second-hand narratives while professional circles see the primary research first</li>
</ul>



<p>For Burry, <em>Cassandra Unchained</em> is a way to speak directly to a paying audience without worrying about front-running his trades or triggering headlines every time his 13F changes. For markets, his shift is another sign that <strong>information itself is becoming an asset class</strong>, sold through subscriptions rather than given away on social media.</p>



<p>Related: <a href="https://finblog.com/michael-burry-takes-aim-at-big-techs-ai-profits/" target="_blank" rel="noopener" title="">Michael Burry Takes Aim at Big Tech’s AI Profits</a></p>



<p><a href="https://finblog.com/michael-burry-shuts-down-scion-asset-management-hints-at-new-project-coming-november-25/" target="_blank" rel="noopener" title="">Michael Burry Shuts Down Scion Asset Management — Hints at New Project Coming November 25</a></p><p>The post <a href="https://finblog.com/michael-burry-swaps-hedge-fund-for-paid-cassandra-unchained-newsletter/">Michael Burry swaps hedge fund for paid “Cassandra Unchained” newsletter</a> first appeared on <a href="https://finblog.com">Finblog</a>.</p>]]></content:encoded>
					
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		<title>Hedge Funds Beat the Market—But October Tested Their Edge</title>
		<link>https://finblog.com/hedge-funds-beat-the-market-but-october-tested-their-edge/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=hedge-funds-beat-the-market-but-october-tested-their-edge</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Guntakin Mehnatli]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 08 Nov 2025 20:13:34 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trending News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hedge funds]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://finblog.com/?p=18090</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Hedge funds are closing 2025 on a strong note, but October reminded them that even in a bull run, volatility still bites. According to a Goldman Sachs client report reviewed by Reuters, hedge funds have gained more than 13% year-to-date through October, outperforming many of the biggest multi-strategy peers like Citadel and Millennium. Still, October was a mixed month: equity long/short funds returned 1.75%, lagging the S&#38;P 500’s 2.3% rise. Tech and healthcare drove the gains, TMT-focused funds rose 2.1%, while healthcare specialists surged 8.4%, marking their fifth consecutive positive month. Yet cracks appeared as AI stocks and high-valuation tech...</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://finblog.com/hedge-funds-beat-the-market-but-october-tested-their-edge/">Hedge Funds Beat the Market—But October Tested Their Edge</a> first appeared on <a href="https://finblog.com">Finblog</a>.</p>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hedge funds are closing 2025 on a strong note, but October reminded them that even in a bull run, volatility still bites.</p>



<p>According to a <strong>Goldman Sachs</strong> client report reviewed by <a href="https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/boards-policy-regulation/how-hedge-funds-performed-october-2025-11-07/" target="_blank" rel="noopener nofollow" title="">Reuters</a>, <a href="https://finblog.com/?s=Hedge+funds" target="_blank" rel="noopener" title="">hedge funds</a> have gained more than <strong>13% year-to-date through October</strong>, outperforming many of the biggest multi-strategy peers like Citadel and Millennium. Still, October was a mixed month: <strong>equity long/short funds returned 1.75%</strong>, lagging the <strong>S&amp;P 500’s 2.3%</strong> rise.</p>



<p><strong>Tech and healthcare drove the gains</strong>, TMT-focused funds rose <strong>2.1%</strong>, while healthcare specialists surged <strong>8.4%</strong>, marking their fifth consecutive positive month. Yet cracks appeared as <strong>AI stocks and high-valuation tech names stumbled</strong> heading into November, pushing the Nasdaq toward its worst week since April.</p>



<p>Meanwhile, <strong>systematic and quant funds struggled</strong> with short positions, and <strong>macro funds</strong> performed slightly better, aided by global rate and currency plays. According to Goldman, <strong>larger, concentrated trades, especially in the US and China, backfired</strong> for both discretionary and systematic managers.</p>



<figure class="wp-block-image size-large is-resized"><img decoding="async" width="678" height="1024" src="https://finblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/image-63-678x1024.png" alt="" class="wp-image-18091" style="width:810px;height:auto" srcset="https://finblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/image-63-678x1024.png 678w, https://finblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/image-63-199x300.png 199w, https://finblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/image-63-768x1161.png 768w, https://finblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/image-63-1016x1536.png 1016w, https://finblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/image-63-1355x2048.png 1355w, https://finblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/image-63.png 1420w" sizes="(max-width: 678px) 100vw, 678px" /></figure>



<p>Despite those headwinds, <strong>hedge fund sentiment remains bullish on single stocks</strong>, with net long exposure climbing for a second month. The optimism, however, may be tested further if the market’s tech-led correction deepens into year-end.</p>



<p>Multi-strategy titans like <strong>Citadel, Millennium, and Balyasny</strong> also reported modest gains in October, underscoring a steady but cautious environment: strong returns, but a sense that the easy money in 2025’s AI-fueled market may already be behind them.</p>



<p><strong>Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.</strong></p><p>The post <a href="https://finblog.com/hedge-funds-beat-the-market-but-october-tested-their-edge/">Hedge Funds Beat the Market—But October Tested Their Edge</a> first appeared on <a href="https://finblog.com">Finblog</a>.</p>]]></content:encoded>
					
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		<title>Hedge funds are shorting stocks again, boosting leverage to new record</title>
		<link>https://finblog.com/hedge-funds-are-shorting-stocks-again-boosting-leverage-to-new-record/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=hedge-funds-are-shorting-stocks-again-boosting-leverage-to-new-record</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Guntakin Mehnatli]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 26 May 2025 16:08:45 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trending News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hedge funds]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://finblog.com/?p=14075</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Biotechs, regional banks, and ETFs are top bearish targets as hedge funds borrowing surges Hedge funds are diving back into aggressive short positions, pushing gross leverage — the total amount of borrowed capital used to amplify bets — to a record high, according to the latest Hedge Fund Trend Monitor from Goldman Sachs Prime Services. The new data shows a dramatic increase in short selling, particularly in exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and sector-specific stocks like biotechnology firms and regional financial institutions. Key Stats From the Report: What’s Driving the Trend? The renewed bearish stance reflects growing uncertainty in the markets —...</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://finblog.com/hedge-funds-are-shorting-stocks-again-boosting-leverage-to-new-record/">Hedge funds are shorting stocks again, boosting leverage to new record</a> first appeared on <a href="https://finblog.com">Finblog</a>.</p>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>Biotechs, regional banks, and ETFs are top bearish targets as hedge funds borrowing surges</em></p>



<p>Hedge funds are diving back into aggressive short positions, pushing <strong>gross leverage</strong> — the total amount of borrowed capital used to amplify bets — to a <strong>record high</strong>, <a href="https://www.marketwatch.com/story/hedge-funds-are-shorting-stocks-again-boosting-leverage-to-new-record-4b7f4663" target="_blank" rel="noopener nofollow" title="according to the latest Hedge Fund Trend Monitor ">according to the latest Hedge Fund Trend Monitor </a>from <strong>Goldman Sachs Prime Services</strong>.</p>



<p>The new data shows a <strong>dramatic increase in short selling</strong>, particularly in <strong>exchange-traded funds (ETFs)</strong> and <strong>sector-specific stocks</strong> like <strong>biotechnology firms</strong> and <strong>regional financial institutions</strong>.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Key Stats From the Report:</h2>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li><strong>$218 billion</strong> in ETF short positions</li>



<li><strong>$948 billion</strong> in short positions in individual stocks</li>



<li>The surge in ETF shorting marks the <strong>largest monthly increase in over 10 years</strong></li>
</ul>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">What’s Driving the Trend?</h2>



<p>The renewed bearish stance reflects growing uncertainty in the markets — especially around <strong>interest rate expectations</strong>, <strong>fragile financial institutions</strong>, and the <strong>underperformance of biotech</strong>.</p>



<p>Shorting involves selling borrowed stock with the aim of buying it back cheaper — and profiting from the decline. The strategy becomes more attractive in volatile or overvalued sectors.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Sector Focus: Biotech and Banks</h2>



<p>According to Goldman’s analysis, hedge funds are aggressively shorting:</p>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li><strong>Biotech stocks</strong>, likely due to poor earnings, rising costs, and low funding visibility</li>



<li><strong>Regional financials</strong>, which remain under pressure post-bank-crisis and amid tightening credit conditions</li>
</ul>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">What Is Gross Leverage?</h2>



<p>Gross leverage measures the total exposure (long + short) relative to hedge fund capital. A rising gross leverage indicates hedge funds are <strong>borrowing more to amplify both bullish and bearish bets</strong> — a sign of increased conviction, but also heightened risk.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">What This Means for Markets</h2>



<p>High short interest can signal:</p>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li><strong>Bearish sentiment</strong> among institutions</li>



<li><strong>Potential for short squeezes</strong> if sentiment rapidly shifts</li>



<li><strong>Increased volatility</strong> in the sectors being targeted</li>
</ul>



<p>Whether this is smart hedging or a warning of further downside remains to be seen — but one thing is clear: hedge funds are gearing up for a choppy ride.</p>



<p>Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.</p>



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		<title>What the Market Isn’t Telling You: Gold, Bonds, Hedge Funds &#038; Fed’s Next Move</title>
		<link>https://finblog.com/what-the-market-isnt-telling-you-gold-bonds-hedge-funds-feds-next-move/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=what-the-market-isnt-telling-you-gold-bonds-hedge-funds-feds-next-move</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Guntakin Mehnatli]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 15 Apr 2025 10:30:37 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Commodities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trending News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[World]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FED]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gold]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hedge funds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trending]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://finblog.com/?p=12850</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Here is why the stock market continues to crush inflation over time, what China is really doing with its gold reserves, and why hedge funds might be sleepwalking into the next market rally. Patience Pays: The Long-Term View Every time we zoom out and study long-term charts—especially those spanning decades—we&#8217;re reminded of just how powerful patience and conviction truly are. These aren&#8217;t just lines on a screen. They&#8217;re validation. They prove that holding firm through volatility, crises, and euphoric rallies hasn’t just been the right choice—it might have been the single most important financial decision of my life. Let’s start with inflation....</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://finblog.com/what-the-market-isnt-telling-you-gold-bonds-hedge-funds-feds-next-move/">What the Market Isn’t Telling You: Gold, Bonds, Hedge Funds & Fed’s Next Move</a> first appeared on <a href="https://finblog.com">Finblog</a>.</p>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Here is why the stock market continues to crush inflation over time, what China is <em>really</em> doing with its gold reserves, and why hedge funds might be sleepwalking into the next market rally.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Patience Pays: The Long-Term View</h2>



<p>Every time we zoom out and study long-term charts—especially those spanning decades—we&#8217;re reminded of just how powerful patience and conviction truly are.</p>



<p>These aren&#8217;t just lines on a screen. They&#8217;re validation.</p>



<p>They prove that holding firm through volatility, crises, and euphoric rallies hasn’t just been the right choice—it might have been the single most important financial decision of my life.</p>



<p>Let’s start with inflation.</p>



<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><img decoding="async" width="713" height="515" src="https://finblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/image-1.png" alt="" class="wp-image-12851" srcset="https://finblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/image-1.png 713w, https://finblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/image-1-300x217.png 300w" sizes="(max-width: 713px) 100vw, 713px" /></figure>



<p>Since 1975, prices in the U.S. have increased roughly sixfold. Something that cost $10 back then now costs about $60. We feel it daily—from groceries and healthcare to education and a morning coffee. Inflation acts as a silent tax on savings.</p>



<p>But here&#8217;s the flip side: over that same stretch, dividends paid by S&amp;P 500 companies grew 21-fold.</p>



<p>Not just price inflation—<strong>income</strong> inflation. That matters.</p>



<p>The S&amp;P 500&#8217;s total return, including reinvested dividends, didn’t just outpace inflation—it obliterated it.</p>



<p>A 323x increase from 1975 to 2024. The index went from 90 to over 29,000. That’s an annualized return above 11%, while inflation averaged just 3.4%.</p>



<p>That spread isn’t just a gap—it’s the foundation of generational wealth.</p>



<p>In a world where purchasing power feels under constant threat, equities remain a relentless engine of wealth creation. They don’t just preserve value. They multiply it.</p>



<p>That’s why I stay in. Despite the noise. Despite the fear. Despite the media cycles.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">What China Isn’t Telling You About Gold</h2>



<p>February 2025 was a perfect case study of macro moves that slip under the radar.</p>



<p>The People’s Bank of China officially <a href="https://news.futunn.com/en/post/51344557/china-has-purchased-a-large-amount-of-gold-goldman-sachs" target="_blank" rel="noopener nofollow" title="reported">reported</a> buying just 5 tonnes of gold. But Goldman Sachs estimated the real figure was closer to 50 tonnes.</p>



<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><img decoding="async" width="800" height="526" src="https://finblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/image-2.png" alt="" class="wp-image-12852" srcset="https://finblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/image-2.png 800w, https://finblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/image-2-300x197.png 300w, https://finblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/image-2-768x505.png 768w" sizes="(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">#image_title</figcaption></figure>



<p>That kind of discrepancy isn’t accidental. It’s strategy. When nations like China enter financial markets, they move quietly and with purpose.</p>



<p>Gold has no counterparty risk. It’s a reserve, a hedge, and in today’s fractured geopolitical world—a strategic asset. Since 2015, gold has more than doubled, jumping from $1,050 to over $3,200 an ounce.</p>



<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img decoding="async" width="1024" height="608" src="https://finblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/image-3-1024x608.png" alt="" class="wp-image-12853" srcset="https://finblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/image-3-1024x608.png 1024w, https://finblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/image-3-300x178.png 300w, https://finblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/image-3-768x456.png 768w, https://finblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/image-3.png 1068w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>



<p>These moves tend to coincide with certain macro conditions: <strong>central bank accumulation</strong>,<strong> negative real rates, and rising uncertainty.</strong></p>



<p>China’s gold buying patterns often align with:</p>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>Yuan depreciation pressures</li>



<li>Trade tensions with the U.S.</li>



<li>De-dollarization of reserves</li>
</ul>



<p>This isn’t just economics—it’s sovereignty.</p>



<p>Gold often says what central bankers won’t. When accumulation spikes, it’s usually where fear lives. China may be silent publicly, but its gold activity is deafening.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Hedge Funds: Missing the Move?</h2>



<p>Hedge fund net exposure has dropped to around 41%, close to levels seen in March 2020—right before markets staged one of the fastest recoveries in history.</p>



<p>That month marked peak fear. Yet it launched a 60% rally in just six months.</p>



<p>Now, we’re seeing déjà vu.</p>



<p>Funds are de-risking, holding back, waiting. But markets don’t wait. When momentum returns, these same funds could be forced to chase performance—quickly.</p>



<p>This isn’t about fundamentals. It’s about positioning. Low exposure + rising market = forced buying.</p>



<p>That’s when things rip.</p>



<figure class="wp-block-image size-full is-resized"><img decoding="async" width="615" height="495" src="https://finblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/image-5.png" alt="" class="wp-image-12855" style="width:810px;height:auto" srcset="https://finblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/image-5.png 615w, https://finblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/image-5-300x241.png 300w" sizes="(max-width: 615px) 100vw, 615px" /></figure>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">The Crowd Thinks the Fed Will Pause</h2>



<p>Polymarket has become a fascinating signal for Fed expectations. Over $21 million has flowed into the platform, with 82% betting that the Fed will hold rates steady at the May 7 meeting.</p>



<p><strong>Only 15% expect a 25bps cut, and a tiny 3% anticipate anything more aggressive.</strong></p>



<p>This is more than just speculation—it’s capital-backed consensus. The takeaway? Investors are preparing for a pause, and that positioning influences everything from yields to tech stocks.</p>



<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img decoding="async" width="1024" height="522" src="https://finblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/image-4-1024x522.png" alt="" class="wp-image-12854" srcset="https://finblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/image-4-1024x522.png 1024w, https://finblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/image-4-300x153.png 300w, https://finblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/image-4-768x392.png 768w, https://finblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/image-4.png 1029w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Bond Yields: A Rare Move</h2>



<p>In early April 2025, the 10-year Treasury yield spiked nearly 20 basis points in just one week. That might seem minor, but it was the <strong>largest weekly jump since 2001</strong>.</p>



<p>Historically, similar spikes (1998, 2016) signaled major macro resets. It’s not a slow grind up—it’s a violent repricing, driven by sticky inflation and strong economic data.</p>



<p>Typically, this leads to a stronger U.S. dollar, especially versus low-yielding currencies. And just as markets digested that shift, the U.S. announced <strong>tariff exemptions for smartphones and computers</strong>.</p>



<p>That sounds minor, but when something similar happened in 2019, the Nasdaq 100 rallied 10% in weeks.</p>



<p>We might be looking at a replay.</p>



<p>Despite the tension, the opportunity is building beneath the surface.</p>



<p>The headlines can blur the bigger picture. But when you zoom out and link the signals—gold, bonds, equities, positioning—you don’t just see the market.</p>



<p>Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.</p>



<p>Source: Macro Mornings</p>



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<p><a href="https://finblog.com/china-chokes-rare-earth-exports-us-supply-chains-face-major-shock/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">China Chokes Rare Earth Exports — US Supply Chains Face Major Shock</a></p>



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<p><a href="https://finblog.com/teslas-stock-is-set-for-a-death-cross-on-monday-3-reasons-why-its-a-risky-buy/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Is Tesla Stock a Buy Now?</a></p>



<p><a href="https://finblog.com/trump-exempts-phones-computers-chips-from-new-tariffs/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"></a><a href="https://finblog.com/90-deals-in-90-days-experts-say-good-luck-with-that/">90 Deals in 90 Days?: Experts say good luck with that</a></p>



<p><a href="https://finblog.com/brics-expansion-and-the-future-of-world-order-perspectives-from-member-states-partners-and-aspirants/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">BRICS Expansion and the Future of World Order: Perspectives from Member States, Partners, and Aspirants</a></p>



<p><a href="https://finblog.com/china-strikes-back-with-125-tariffs-on-u-s-goods-starting-april-12/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">China strikes back with 125% tariffs on U.S. goods, starting April 12</a></p>



<p><a href="https://finblog.com/tesla-stops-taking-new-orders-in-china/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Tesla stops taking new orders in China</a></p>



<p><a href="https://finblog.com/145-tariffs-and-a-global-showdown-china-rejects-us-arrogance/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">145% Tariffs and a Global Showdown: China Rejects US “Arrogance”</a></p>



<p><a href="https://finblog.com/eu-to-impose-retaliatory-25-tariffs-on-us-goods-from-almonds-to-yachts/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">EU to impose retaliatory 25% tariffs on US goods from almonds to yachts</a></p><p>The post <a href="https://finblog.com/what-the-market-isnt-telling-you-gold-bonds-hedge-funds-feds-next-move/">What the Market Isn’t Telling You: Gold, Bonds, Hedge Funds & Fed’s Next Move</a> first appeared on <a href="https://finblog.com">Finblog</a>.</p>]]></content:encoded>
					
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		<title>Hedge Funds Dump Semiconductors Ahead of Tariff Shock</title>
		<link>https://finblog.com/hedge-funds-dump-semiconductors-ahead-of-tariff-shock/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=hedge-funds-dump-semiconductors-ahead-of-tariff-shock</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Guntakin Mehnatli]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 31 Mar 2025 19:53:06 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trending News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hedge funds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nvidia]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://finblog.com/?p=12374</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Hedge funds are bailing on tech — fast. In the biggest exodus in six months, institutional investors are cutting exposure to global technology stocks, with semiconductors hit hardest, just days before Trump’s April 2 “Liberation Day” tariffs kick in. A new Goldman Sachs report shows that hedge fund exposure to tech is now at its lowest in five years, driven by fears over macro shocks, AI overvaluation, and trade policy risk. Semis Get Sliced First The most aggressive selling is centered on semiconductors, especially Nvidia (NVDA) and AMD, according to data from both Goldman and Morgan Stanley. Hedge funds “fled...</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://finblog.com/hedge-funds-dump-semiconductors-ahead-of-tariff-shock/">Hedge Funds Dump Semiconductors Ahead of Tariff Shock</a> first appeared on <a href="https://finblog.com">Finblog</a>.</p>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hedge funds are bailing on tech — fast. In the biggest <a href="https://www.hedgeweek.com/hedge-funds-exit-tech-stocks-ahead-of-us-tariffs/" target="_blank" rel="noopener nofollow" title="exodus">exodus</a> in six months, institutional investors are <strong>cutting exposure to global technology stocks</strong>, with <strong>semiconductors hit hardest</strong>, just days before Trump’s <strong>April 2 “Liberation Day” tariffs</strong> kick in.</p>



<p>A new <strong>Goldman Sachs</strong> report shows that hedge fund exposure to tech is now at its <strong>lowest in five years</strong>, driven by fears over macro shocks, AI overvaluation, and trade policy risk.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Semis Get Sliced First</h2>



<p>The most aggressive selling is centered on <strong>semiconductors</strong>, especially <strong>Nvidia (NVDA)</strong> and <strong>AMD</strong>, according to data from both <strong>Goldman</strong> and <strong>Morgan Stanley</strong>.</p>



<blockquote class="wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow">
<p>Hedge funds “fled tech stocks before tariffs take hold,” said Goldman.<br>Short positions in Nvidia, Tesla, and AMD are spiking, Morgan Stanley noted last week.</p>
</blockquote>



<p>Trump’s sweeping tariff campaign — set to start <strong>April 2 with reciprocal tariffs on “all countries”</strong> — is fueling uncertainty across global supply chains. Chipmakers, which rely on international exports and pricing stability, are suddenly in the firing line.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">NVDA Under Pressure — But Still Resilient</h2>



<p><strong>Nvidia (NVDA)</strong> opened at <strong>$105.11</strong> today and is trading around <strong>$104.46</strong>, down from recent highs but still well above its <strong>52-week low of $75.60</strong>. With a <strong>$2.5T+ market cap</strong>, a <strong>forward P/E of 25.35</strong>, and a <strong>mean analyst target of $171</strong>, NVDA remains a long-term bull pick despite short-term selling.</p>



<blockquote class="wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow">
<p>“The sector still holds promising prospects backed by strong fundamentals,” Goldman said, cautioning against a full-blown panic.</p>
</blockquote>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">What’s Really Driving the Exit</h2>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li><strong>Tariff fears</strong>: April 2 is now a market risk event.</li>



<li><strong>AI skepticism</strong>: Valuations are rich, returns uncertain.</li>



<li><strong>Stagflation whispers</strong>: Slowing growth + sticky inflation = hedging behavior.</li>
</ul>



<p>Despite the pullback, analysts see the current move as <strong>tactical, not structural</strong>. The longer-term thesis for semiconductors — especially AI hardware — remains intact. But for now, the hedge funds are moving to the sidelines.</p>



<p>Wall Street’s biggest players are lightening their tech load ahead of Trump’s tariff wave — and semiconductors are taking the hit. <strong>Volatility will rule the week</strong>, but under the surface, the <strong>AI chip race isn’t over — just paused</strong>.</p>



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<p><a href="https://finblog.com/elon-musks-xai-buys-his-social-media-platform-x/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Elon Musk’s xAI buys his social media platform X</a></p>



<p><a href="https://finblog.com/trump-was-supposed-to-unlock-ipo-market-but-coreweave-debut-reflects-ongoing-skepticism/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Trump was supposed to unlock IPO market, but CoreWeave debut reflects ongoing skepticism</a></p>



<p><a href="https://finblog.com/nothing-is-black-and-white-in-the-ai-world/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Nothing is black and white in the AI world</a></p>



<p><a href="https://finblog.com/these-cars-may-be-more-expensive-under-trumps-auto-tariffs/">These Cars&nbsp;</a><a href="https://finblog.com/these-cars-may-be-more-expensive-under-trumps-auto-tariffs/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">May&nbsp;</a><a href="https://finblog.com/these-cars-may-be-more-expensive-under-trumps-auto-tariffs/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Be More Expensive Under Trump’s Auto Tariffs</a></p>



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		<title>The 10 Stocks Hedge Funds Love—and Hate—the Most</title>
		<link>https://finblog.com/the-10-stocks-hedge-funds-love-and-hate-the-most/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=the-10-stocks-hedge-funds-love-and-hate-the-most</link>
					<comments>https://finblog.com/the-10-stocks-hedge-funds-love-and-hate-the-most/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Guntakin Mehnatli]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 04 Mar 2025 20:28:54 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trending News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hedge funds]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://finblog.com/?p=11468</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Hedge funds are a key force in the stock market, influencing trends with their bullish and bearish bets. Recent data reveals which stocks hedge funds love and which ones they are betting against the most. Understanding these trends can offer retail investors valuable insights into market sentiment and potential opportunities. The Market’s Least Shorted Stocks – Hedge Funds’ Favorites The least shorted stocks indicate companies that hedge funds have confidence in, as short interest (the percentage of shares sold short) remains extremely low. These stocks are seen as strong performers with stable fundamentals. 1. Walmart (WMT): Short interest: 0.45% 2....</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://finblog.com/the-10-stocks-hedge-funds-love-and-hate-the-most/">The 10 Stocks Hedge Funds Love—and Hate—the Most</a> first appeared on <a href="https://finblog.com">Finblog</a>.</p>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hedge funds are a key force in the stock market, influencing trends with their bullish and bearish bets. <a href="https://www.barrons.com/articles/short-intrest-stocks-hedge-funds-70bf905a?mod=hp_WIND_A_1_5" target="_blank" rel="noopener nofollow" title="Recent data reveals">Recent data reveals</a> which stocks hedge funds love and which ones they are betting against the most. Understanding these trends can offer retail investors valuable insights into market sentiment and potential opportunities.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">The Market’s Least Shorted Stocks – Hedge Funds’ Favorites</h2>



<p>The least shorted stocks indicate companies that hedge funds have confidence in, as short interest (the percentage of shares sold short) remains extremely low. These stocks are seen as strong performers with stable fundamentals.</p>



<p><strong>1. Walmart (WMT)</strong>: Short interest: <strong>0.45%</strong></p>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>The retail giant continues to thrive with strong consumer demand and an expanding e-commerce presence.</li>
</ul>



<p><strong>2. Philip Morris International (PM)</strong>: Short interest: <strong>Well under 1%</strong></p>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>A leader in the tobacco industry, Philip Morris is pivoting toward reduced-risk products, making it attractive to long-term investors.</li>
</ul>



<p><strong>3. Mastercard (MA)</strong>: Short interest: <strong>Well under 1%</strong></p>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>The global payment processor benefits from increasing digital transactions and strong financials.</li>
</ul>



<p><strong>4. Amazon (AMZN)</strong>: Short interest: <strong>Well under 1%</strong></p>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>Amazon dominates e-commerce and cloud computing, making it a resilient stock that hedge funds avoid betting against.</li>
</ul>



<p><strong>5. Chubb (CB)</strong>: Short interest: <strong>Well under 1%</strong></p>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>A leading property and casualty insurer, Chubb has a strong balance sheet and reliable cash flows.</li>
</ul>



<p>These stocks demonstrate solid business models, financial stability, and growth potential, making them safer bets in an uncertain market.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">The Market’s Most Shorted Stocks – Hedge Funds Bet Against These</h2>



<p>On the flip side, some stocks have high short interest, meaning hedge funds expect them to decline due to financial instability, market headwinds, or industry challenges.</p>



<p><strong>1. Enphase Energy (ENPH)</strong>: Short interest: <strong>16.7%</strong></p>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>Despite being a leader in solar energy solutions, Enphase has faced concerns about demand slowdowns and margin pressures.</li>
</ul>



<p><strong>2. Super Micro Computer (SMCI)</strong>: Short interest: <strong>Over 10%</strong></p>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>While benefiting from AI and server demand, concerns over valuation and competition have led hedge funds to bet against it.</li>
</ul>



<p><strong>3. Albemarle (ALB)</strong>: Short interest: <strong>Over 10%</strong></p>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>A major lithium producer, Albemarle is struggling with declining lithium prices and oversupply fears.</li>
</ul>



<p><strong>4. Fox Corporation (FOX)</strong>: Short interest: <strong>Over 10%</strong></p>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>Media companies face increasing competition from digital platforms, and Fox’s revenue model has raised investor skepticism.</li>
</ul>



<p><strong>5. Moderna (MRNA)</strong>: Short interest: <strong>Over 10%</strong></p>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>As COVID-19 vaccine demand declines, Moderna is searching for new revenue sources, leading to uncertainty about its future earnings.</li>
</ul>



<p>Stocks with high short interest can be risky but also present opportunities for sharp rebounds if sentiment shifts (known as a <strong>short squeeze</strong>).</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Why This Matters for Investors</h2>



<p>Watching hedge funds’ favorite and most shorted stocks can help investors gauge market trends and sentiment. Stocks with low short interest are seen as safer investments, while highly shorted stocks carry risk but also potential upside if market conditions improve.</p>



<p><strong>Should you follow hedge funds’ strategies?</strong> While institutional investors have access to deep research, individual investors should still do their own due diligence before making any investment decisions. Understanding market sentiment, company fundamentals, and industry trends can help navigate these insights wisely.</p>



<p>Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.</p>



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<p><a href="https://finblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/Covid-and-a-reminder-about-long-term-investing.jpg"><strong>Covid and a Reminder about Long Term Investing</strong></a></p><p>The post <a href="https://finblog.com/the-10-stocks-hedge-funds-love-and-hate-the-most/">The 10 Stocks Hedge Funds Love—and Hate—the Most</a> first appeared on <a href="https://finblog.com">Finblog</a>.</p>]]></content:encoded>
					
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		<title>Wall Street’s latest favorites &#8211; Hedge Funds&#8217; Top Picks in Q4</title>
		<link>https://finblog.com/wall-streets-latest-favorites-hedge-funds-top-picks-in-q4/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=wall-streets-latest-favorites-hedge-funds-top-picks-in-q4</link>
					<comments>https://finblog.com/wall-streets-latest-favorites-hedge-funds-top-picks-in-q4/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Guntakin Mehnatli]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Feb 2025 22:10:25 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trending News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hedge funds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Warren Buffett]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://finblog.com/?p=11016</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Every quarter, funds managing over $100 million must share their portfolio moves as part of their 13F filings. These filings can be goldmines, providing unique insights into recent decisions made by some of the best money managers. So, let’s look at the Q4 2024 update, regarding App Economy Insights. As usual, this seasonal article comes with some caveats. Blindly replicating the trades of the so-called ‘smart money’ is a recipe for disaster. Investing decisions are like shots from the 3-point range on a basketball court. Even Steph Curry—the best shooter in history—misses more than half of his attempts. In investing,...</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://finblog.com/wall-streets-latest-favorites-hedge-funds-top-picks-in-q4/">Wall Street’s latest favorites – Hedge Funds’ Top Picks in Q4</a> first appeared on <a href="https://finblog.com">Finblog</a>.</p>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Every quarter, funds managing over $100 million must share their portfolio moves as part of their 13F filings. These filings can be goldmines, providing unique insights into recent decisions made by some of the best money managers. So, let’s look at the Q4 2024 update, regarding <a href="https://www.appeconomyinsights.com/p/hedge-funds-top-picks-in-q4-041?utm_source=post-email-title&amp;publication_id=1147403&amp;post_id=157336506&amp;utm_campaign=email-post-title&amp;isFreemail=true&amp;r=34l2hw&amp;triedRedirect=true&amp;utm_medium=email" target="_blank" rel="noopener nofollow" title="App Economy Insights">App Economy Insights</a>.</p>



<p>As usual, this seasonal article comes with some caveats. Blindly replicating the trades of the so-called ‘smart money’ is a recipe for disaster. Investing decisions are like shots from the 3-point range on a basketball court. Even Steph Curry—the best shooter in history—misses more than half of his attempts. In investing, there is no such thing as a sure bet.</p>



<p>Your patience and capacity to stay the course matters more than what you put in your portfolio. Your success hinges on your behavior.&nbsp;Peter Lynch&nbsp;says you should “know what you own and why you own it.&#8221;</p>



<p>Conviction is a critical step in an investing framework because all companies go through a rough patch, and their stock inevitably collapses, at least temporarily.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">1. Hedge funds’ strategies</h2>



<p>Hedge funds are financial titans known for their sophisticated and flexible investment strategies aimed at achieving sky-high returns.</p>



<p>Here&#8217;s a breakdown of the pillars shaping their strategies:</p>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li><strong>Market conditions</strong>: Hedge funds adjust their sails according to the economic winds. In bull markets, long positions may be favored, while bear markets might see an uptick in short selling or other defensive tactics.</li>



<li><strong>Sector trends</strong>: Changes in consumer behavior or new legislation can drive hedge funds toward specific industries and influence their buying patterns.</li>



<li><strong>Company fundamentals</strong>: A company&#8217;s earnings, cash flow, and management quality often dictate investment choices.</li>



<li><strong>Macroeconomic factors</strong>: Global events, from interest rate changes to geopolitical shifts, significantly influence hedge fund decision-making.</li>



<li><strong>Quantitative models</strong>: Many funds employ complex, proprietary models, uncovering opportunities that traditional analyses might miss.</li>



<li><strong>Risk management</strong>: Hedge funds don&#8217;t just chase returns; they also strategically diversify to mitigate risks.</li>



<li><strong>Investor sentiment</strong>: The market&#8217;s mood can lead to undervalued opportunities or selling points in a euphoric market.</li>
</ul>



<p>It doesn&#8217;t always work out. The Global X Guru ETF (GURU), mirroring some top hedge funds, illustrates a sobering reality: it has trailed behind the S&amp;P 500 (SPY) over the past decade.</p>



<figure class="wp-block-image is-resized"><a href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc8ae15f5-777d-439e-ac96-251246b21f08_635x420.png" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"><img decoding="async" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc8ae15f5-777d-439e-ac96-251246b21f08_635x420.png" alt="Chart" style="width:810px;height:auto" title="Chart"/></a><figcaption class="wp-element-caption"><em>Data by YCharts</em></figcaption></figure>



<p>The hefty &#8216;2 and 20&#8217; fee structure (2% of managed assets and 20% of profits) adds to this underperformance and can significantly erode returns. Intense market competition has put this model under scrutiny.</p>



<p>For individual investors, the takeaway is clear: while hedge funds&#8217; dynamic strategies and potential for high returns are enticing, understanding their methodologies and the associated costs is crucial.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">2. Top holdings and top buys in Q4</h2>



<p>In early 2020, before the COVID rally and subsequent market collapse, I selected a list of 20 top-performing hedge funds, according to TipRanks. Their methodology was based on the alpha generated compared to the S&amp;P 500. It’s not perfect, but it’s a good starting point. Let me know if you want specific funds on this list.</p>



<p>So let&#8217;s see what these funds, often featured in my social media feeds and podcast rotation, have been up to lately.</p>



<p>Remember, technology, communication, and consumer services represent most of the S&amp;P 500, so it&#8217;s not surprising that these categories are well represented in the list below.</p>



<h4 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>Top 5 holdings end of December:</strong></h4>



<figure class="wp-block-image is-resized"><a href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F95ffcdc5-1c39-4661-8c9c-d7d213b0e3e7_625x799.png" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"><img decoding="async" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F95ffcdc5-1c39-4661-8c9c-d7d213b0e3e7_625x799.png" alt="" style="width:810px;height:auto"/></a></figure>



<p>The portfolios reveal the usual suspects. The nine stocks below represent nearly half of the top holdings:</p>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/2601.png" alt="☁" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" />&nbsp;<strong>Hyperscalers</strong>: AMZN, GOOG, MSFT.</li>



<li><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/2699.png" alt="⚙" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" />&nbsp;<strong>AI tech stack</strong>: META, NVDA, TSM.</li>



<li><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f4b3.png" alt="💳" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" />&nbsp;<strong>Payments</strong>: MELI, SHOP, V.</li>
</ul>



<p>Now, let’s turn to the most timely part!</p>



<p>What are the stocks that picked the spotlight in Q4 as top buys?</p>



<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Top 5 buys in Q4 (stocks they bought the most during the quarter):</h4>



<figure class="wp-block-image is-resized"><a href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb89d80f9-165a-4d68-b78d-28dbc2198b34_623x797.png" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"><img decoding="async" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb89d80f9-165a-4d68-b78d-28dbc2198b34_623x797.png" alt="" style="width:810px;height:auto"/></a></figure>



<p>Here are some themes from the recurring names:</p>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f4bb.png" alt="💻" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" />&nbsp;<strong>Enterprise</strong>&nbsp;<strong>Software</strong>: APP, CRM, NOW, TEAM.</li>



<li><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/2699.png" alt="⚙" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" />&nbsp;<strong>Semiconductors</strong>: ASML, AVGO.</li>



<li><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f4f1.png" alt="📱" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" />&nbsp;<strong>Digital platforms</strong>: RDDT, SPOT.</li>



<li><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/2601.png" alt="☁" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" />&nbsp;<strong>Hyperscalers</strong>: AMZN, GOOG.</li>



<li><strong><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f3c8.png" alt="🏈" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> Sports betting</strong>: FLUT.</li>



<li><strong><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f3e2.png" alt="🏢" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> Real Estate</strong>: CSGP.</li>
</ul>



<p>Take note of the subtle changes this quarter:</p>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li><strong>Some Magnificent 7 are back</strong>: Alphabet and Amazon were back at the top of the buy lists. In addition, Altimeter allocated an extra 5% to its massive NVDA holding (now 19% of the fund). The rest of the Mag 7, though? Still MIA. After many quarters that saw META and MSFT as some of the most popular buys, funds were not adding to their positions in Q4. Tesla was also nowhere to be found.</li>



<li><strong>Enterprise Software remains a favorite</strong>: AI is unlocking new monetization avenues for software giants. While much of the focus has been on the bottom and middle layers of the AI tech stack, these funds are shifting their attention to the top layer, with AI agents representing a crucial catalyst. If inference costs decrease, software solutions with a broad distribution are well-positioned to win.</li>



<li><strong>Flutter is still getting some love</strong>: After Tiger Global and Viking last quarter, it was Lone Pine and Altimeter’s turn to add to the online gambling powerhouse.</li>



<li><strong>New digital platforms rise</strong>: Reddit and Spotify had a strong 2024, and these funds have noticed. With continued growth and impressive margin expansion, they show that it’s never too late for a business to demonstrate operating leverage.</li>
</ul>



<p>As a reminder, I intentionally ignore these funds&#8217; top sells, as they can be misleading. So often, the top sells include some of these money managers&#8217; highest conviction holdings, which they&#8217;re merely trimming for risk management purposes.</p>



<p>What else was noteworthy among other funds outside of my scope?</p>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li><strong>Pershing Square (Bill Ackman)&nbsp;</strong>increased again his position in Brookfield (BN), now 16% of the fund. The high-profile investor also recently announced a&nbsp;$2.3 billion investment in Uber, likely making it his top holding at the end of Q1 2025.</li>



<li><strong>Duquesne (Stanley Druckenmiller)</strong>&nbsp;built up a 5% position in Teva Pharmaceutical (TEVA). He significantly trimmed his Coupang (CPNG) investment, which is still his fifth-largest holding.</li>



<li><strong>Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway</strong>&nbsp;also submitted the latest 13F. While not a hedge fund, it’s a significant portfolio to track.
<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li><strong>No more Apple trimming</strong>: After significant cuts in 2024, the Oracle of Omaha kept his AAPL stake unchanged. Yet, Apple remained his largest position, accounting for 28% of the portfolio.</li>



<li><strong>Bank of America was trimmed by ~15%</strong>: BAC remains the third-biggest holding behind American Express (AXP).</li>



<li><strong>Small new entrants</strong>: Berkshire started a new position in Constellation Brands (STZ) and added to his Domino’s Pizza (DPZ), but keep in mind these are each less than 0.5% holdings. ( Read:<strong><a href="https://finblog.com/whats-in-warren-buffetts-latest-stock-portfolio-dividends/" target="_blank" rel="noopener" title=" What’s in Warren Buffett’s Latest Stock Portfolio?"> What’s in Warren Buffett’s Latest Stock Portfolio?</a></strong>)<br></li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>



<figure class="wp-block-image"><a href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9cf13c24-ae5a-4f36-81f9-3906a33da6d2_2743x1540.png" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"><img decoding="async" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9cf13c24-ae5a-4f36-81f9-3906a33da6d2_2743x1540.png" alt=""/></a></figure>



<hr class="wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity"/>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">3. Case studies</h2>



<p>Let&#8217;s look at three recurring names in the top buys list in Q4.</p>



<h4 class="wp-block-heading">ServiceNow (NOW): AI Pivot</h4>



<figure class="wp-block-image"><a href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6218a2e8-93ae-46bf-8d97-5d2000e84f4e_2743x1540.png" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"><img decoding="async" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6218a2e8-93ae-46bf-8d97-5d2000e84f4e_2743x1540.png" alt=""/></a></figure>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li><strong>AI adoption vs. near-term growth pains</strong>: ServiceNow’s AI-driven automation tools are gaining traction, with Now Assist service desk deals up 150% quarter-over-quarter. However, the company prioritizes AI adoption over immediate revenue growth, shifting to a pay-as-you-go pricing model instead of upfront subscriptions. This move is designed to drive long-term value but led to near-term revenue guidance missing Wall Street estimates.</li>



<li><strong>Federal &amp; Enterprise tailwinds pushed to late 2025</strong>: ServiceNow is a major vendor for the US government and enterprise IT. Management cited potential federal spending disruptions tied to the election cycle but expects growth to accelerate in the second half of 2025. Meanwhile, expanded AI partnerships with Google, Visa, and Oracle position ServiceNow as a key player in enterprise automation.</li>



<li><strong>Shareholder-friendly moves</strong>: ServiceNow approved a $3 billion share buyback. The company generated $3.5 billion in free cash flow in 2024, reinforcing its strong financial foundation as it navigates macro uncertainties.</li>
</ul>



<h4 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>AppLovin (APP): Ad Takeover</strong></h4>



<figure class="wp-block-image"><a href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1e9fe67b-9ba6-4637-b984-89fa463c23bc_2743x1540.png" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"><img decoding="async" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1e9fe67b-9ba6-4637-b984-89fa463c23bc_2743x1540.png" alt=""/></a></figure>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li><strong>From games to AI-powered ads</strong>: AppLovin is fully pivoting to AI-driven advertising. It is divesting its game development business for $900 million to double down on its ad tech platform. This shift expands its reach beyond gaming into e-commerce and other verticals, unlocking a significantly larger market.</li>



<li><strong>Explosive growth, but valuation debate</strong>: Q4 revenue surged 44% year-over-year to $1.37 billion, crushing expectations. Advertising revenue soared 73%, fueled by AI-driven ad placements. However, after a 750% stock rally in a year, some analysts question whether the valuation has run too hot.</li>



<li><strong>Self-serve ads are coming</strong>: AppLovin is building a self-service advertising platform to attract all advertisers, from e-commerce to fintech. This could be a game-changer, allowing businesses to launch AI-optimized ad campaigns with minimal friction, but execution remains key.</li>
</ul>



<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Reddit (RDDT): Ad Surge</h4>



<figure class="wp-block-image"><a href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fce7911da-f48e-4d3a-8e2c-4d1bf7449684_2743x1540.png" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"><img decoding="async" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fce7911da-f48e-4d3a-8e2c-4d1bf7449684_2743x1540.png" alt=""/></a></figure>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li><strong>Ad revenue soars, but user growth disappoints</strong>: Reddit’s Q4 revenue surged 71% to $428 million, driven by a 60% jump in ad sales, as mid-market and SMB advertisers flocked to the platform. However, user growth fell short of expectations, with 102 million DAUs vs. the projected 103 million, partially due to Google algorithm changes impacting logged-out traffic.</li>



<li><strong>AI-powered search &amp; data monetization</strong>: The company is doubling down on AI, launching Reddit Answers to enhance search functionality and engagement. Meanwhile, $203 million in data-licensing deals with Google and OpenAI signal Reddit’s push beyond ads for revenue diversification. More AI partnerships are expected.</li>



<li><strong>Profitability &amp; paywalls on the horizon</strong>: Reddit posted its second straight profitable quarter, but soaring R&amp;D costs—up 69% to $189 million—raised concerns. To boost monetization, Reddit plans to introduce paid subreddits in 2025, a major shift from its historically open-access model.</li>
</ul>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">4. Implications for individual investors</h2>



<p>Hedge fund activities can be a gold mine of information, but they also come with additional caveats:</p>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li><strong>Diversify</strong>: Hedge funds don&#8217;t put all their eggs in one basket. Spread your investments across various sectors and regions. You don’t have to bet the farm on a single company to generate wealth.</li>



<li><strong>Look ahead</strong>: Many top funds invest with a future focus. They’re not swayed by today&#8217;s headlines but by a company&#8217;s potential in the next few years. It&#8217;s a good reminder not to let daily market buzz cloud our long-term vision.</li>



<li><strong>Dig deeper</strong>: Sure, hedge funds have teams diving into every detail of a company. But that doesn&#8217;t mean you don’t need to do your homework. Read about your investments, stay updated, and trust but verify.</li>



<li><strong>Watch the fees</strong>: Costs eat into profits. It sounds simple, yet many overlook this. As Jack Bogle said, &#8220;In investing, you get what you don&#8217;t pay for. Costs matter.&#8221; Always know what you&#8217;re being charged.</li>



<li><strong>Use filings as a starting point</strong>: 13F filings can offer great insights but are not real-time updates. These are snapshots, sometimes old ones. Still, they&#8217;re great conversation starters for your research.</li>
</ul>



<p>Watching hedge funds can be instructive, but your investment journey is personal. Make informed decisions that suit your goals and risk appetite.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Bottom line</h2>



<p>Successful investing is not just about emulating the &#8216;smart money&#8217;; it&#8217;s about aligning your portfolio with your unique financial goals and understanding the risks involved.</p>



<p>While most of us won&#8217;t have the vast resources of a hedge fund, we possess something just as potent—the ability to invest with patience and a long-term vision.</p>



<p>Investing isn&#8217;t about blindly following the herd. It&#8217;s about carving your own path, armed with knowledge, patience, and a relentless pursuit of growth and learning.</p>



<p>Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.</p>



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<p><a href="https://substack.com/@appeconomyinsights"></a></p>



<p><a href="https://substack.com/@appeconomyinsights"></a></p><p>The post <a href="https://finblog.com/wall-streets-latest-favorites-hedge-funds-top-picks-in-q4/">Wall Street’s latest favorites – Hedge Funds’ Top Picks in Q4</a> first appeared on <a href="https://finblog.com">Finblog</a>.</p>]]></content:encoded>
					
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		<title>Hedge funds &#8216;aggressively&#8217; sold tech stocks in June &#8211; Goldman Sachs</title>
		<link>https://finblog.com/hedge-funds-aggressively-sold-tech-stocks-in-june-goldman-sachs/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=hedge-funds-aggressively-sold-tech-stocks-in-june-goldman-sachs</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Guntakin Mehnatli]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Jun 2024 17:52:38 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Tech]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trending News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Goldman Sachs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hedge funds]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[<p>Hedge funds have engaged in record net dollar selling of tech stocks in June, according to a Goldman Sachs report. The selling was led by the Semiconductors and Semiconductor Equipment sector, marking the largest net selling in U.S. TMT stocks on record. This trend follows a significant drawdown in AI giant NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA), which saw its market cap plummet by $430 billion over three days before partially recovering. Hedge fund exposure to momentum stocks also decreased for the first time in six months. Recent selling included major players like Broadcom (NASDAQ: AVGO), highlighting a shift in hedge fund strategies.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://finblog.com/hedge-funds-aggressively-sold-tech-stocks-in-june-goldman-sachs/">Hedge funds ‘aggressively’ sold tech stocks in June – Goldman Sachs</a> first appeared on <a href="https://finblog.com">Finblog</a>.</p>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hedge funds have engaged in record net dollar selling of tech stocks in June, according to a Goldman Sachs report. The selling was led by the Semiconductors and Semiconductor Equipment sector, marking the largest net selling in U.S. TMT stocks on record. This trend follows a significant drawdown in AI giant NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA), which saw its market cap plummet by $430 billion over three days before partially recovering. </p>



<p>Hedge fund exposure to momentum stocks also decreased for the first time in six months. Recent selling included major players like Broadcom (NASDAQ: AVGO), highlighting a shift in hedge fund strategies.<a href="https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/hedge-funds-aggressively-sold-tech-stocks-in-june--goldman-sachs-3499347"></a></p><p>The post <a href="https://finblog.com/hedge-funds-aggressively-sold-tech-stocks-in-june-goldman-sachs/">Hedge funds ‘aggressively’ sold tech stocks in June – Goldman Sachs</a> first appeared on <a href="https://finblog.com">Finblog</a>.</p>]]></content:encoded>
					
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